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英语翻译A quantitative risk assessment method of casing collapse

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英语翻译
A quantitative risk assessment method of casing collapse resistance and internal pressure resistance is established in
accordance with the theory of structural reliability and random theory,in terms of geometrical parameters,
mechanical property and external load randomness of casing and on the basis of the analysis on shortcomings of
safety coefficient and assessment methods for conventional casing design.Using Monte-Carlo random sampling
method,a probability of casing failure with different pressure and a relationship between safety coefficient and
probability of casing failure have been obtained by simulating a random distribution regularity of casing strength.
Studies show that quantitative risk assessment methods could be adopted to perform quantitative assessment on
casing safety and reliability.Casings of different types and under the effect of different external loads have similar
safety coefficient and different probabilities of failure.Failure probability assessment index calculated with random
theory may provide bases for the selection of conventional safety coefficient and casing design and assessment with
uncertain external loads.
套管崩溃阻力和内部压力阻力定量风险评估方法被建立在
按照理论的结构可靠性和随机理论的几何参数
力学性能及外部负载随机性的套管和缺陷的分析的基础上
常规套管设计安全系数和评估方法.使用蒙特卡罗随机抽样
方法、 概率的套管失效与不同的压力和安全系数的关系和
套管损坏的概率获得了通过模拟套管强度的随机分布规律.
研究表明可以通过定量风险评估方法进行定量评估
套管安全和可靠性.弹壳的不同类型和不同的外部荷载的作用下有类似
安全系数和不同的故障概率.计算与随机故障概率评估指数
理论可能向提供的常规安全系数和套管设计和评估与选择的基地
不确定的外部载荷.