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英语翻译在对未来制定计划时,公司会面临一定程度的不确定性,必须依赖各种定量分和方法来辅助制定更好的决策.本节主要关注与以

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英语翻译
在对未来制定计划时,公司会面临一定程度的不确定性,必须依赖各种定量分和
方法来辅助制定更好的决策.本节主要关注与以下三个领域相关的定量分析方法:
·数据分析涉及分析给定的数据集,以确定这些数据之间的关系和/或数据模式.
使用数据分析,人们可以基于给定的条件,预测未来的结果(即回归分析) ;或者基
于既定的模式,预测未来的结果(即时间序列分析和平滑法).
·建模涉及构建一个数学模型,以确立不同因素之间的关系.学习曲线分析就是一种
模型,它可用于确定当产品生产数量发生变化时,产品生产所需的时间会如何变化.
·决策理论处理不确定性问题,考察未来可能出现的各种结果以及这些结果出现
的可能性.期望值和敏感性分析是处理不确定性的两种方法.
When planning for the future, a company faces some degree of uncertainty and will rely on a variety of quantitative methods to help it make better decisions. This content focuses on quantitative methods in three areas:
Data analysis involves analyzing a given set of data to establish the relationship and/or pattern in the data. These analyses can be used to predict the outcome based on a given set of conditions (i.e., regression analysis) or they can be used to forecast the outcome based on an established paitern (i.e., time series analysis and smoothing).
Model building involves creating a mathematical model that establishes the relationship between different factors. Learning curve analysis is one type of model that is used to determine how the amount of time required to produce a product changes as the number ofunits produced changes.
Decision theory deals with uncertainty by looking at various potential outcomes that can happen in the future, along with the likelihood of these outcomes occurring. Expected value and sensitivity analysis are two methods that-deal with uncertainty.
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